949.397.4506 melvyn@commlre.com

It’s clear that consumers are concerned about how quickly RCFE home values are rising. Many people fear the speed of appreciation may lead to a crash in prices later this year. In fact, Google reports that the search for “When is the housing market going to crash?” has actually spiked 2450% over the past month.

In addition, Jim Dalrymple II of Inman News notes:

“One of the most noteworthy things that came up in Inman’s conversations with agents was that every single one said they’ve had conversations with clients about whether or not the market is heading into a bubble.”

To alleviate some of these concerns, let’s look at what several financial analysts are saying about the current residential real estate market. Within the last thirty days, four of the major financial services giants came to the same conclusion: the housing market is strong, and price appreciation will continue. Here are their statements on the issue:

 

Goldman Sachs’ Research Note on Housing:

“Strong demand for housing looks sustainable. Even before the pandemic, demographic tailwinds and historically-low mortgage rates had pushed demand to high levels. … consumer surveys indicate that household buying intentions are now the highest in 20 years. … As a result, the model projects double-digit price gains both this year and next.” 

Joe Seydl, Senior Markets EconomistJ.P.Morgan:

“Homebuyers—interest rates are still historically low, though they are inching up. Housing prices have spiked during the last six-to-nine months, but we don’t expect them to fall soon, and we believe they are more likely to keep rising. If you are looking to purchase a new home (or RCFE), conditions now may be better than 12 months hence.” 

Morgan Stanley, Thoughts on the Market Podcast:

“Unlike 15 years ago, the euphoria in today’s home (and RCFE) prices comes down to the simple logic of supply and demand. And we at Morgan Stanley conclude that this time the sector is on a sustainably, sturdy foundation.  This robust demand and highly challenged supply, along with tight mortgage lending standards, may continue to bode well for home (and RCFE) prices. Higher interest rates and post pandemic moves could likely slow the pace of appreciation, but the upward trajectory remains very much on course.” 

Merrill Lynch’s Capital Market Outlook:

“There are reasons to believe that this is likely to be an unusually long and strong housing expansion. Demand is very strong….  At the same time, supply is unusually tight, with available homes (and RCFEs) for sale at record-low levels. Double-digit price gains are rationing the supply.”  

Bottom Line

If you’re concerned about making the decision to buy or sell right now, contact us TODAY to discuss what’s happening in your local market.

If you are considering buying, selling or leasing an RCFE, please call us TODAY to explore your options.  We would be delighted to evaluate your business and provide price guidance.  We will help you obtain the highest possible price for your RCFE.  

Michelle (949) 397- 4506 & Melvyn (949) 500-3630